According to Pew Research Center, Islam is on track to become the second largest religion in the US in little more than twenty years.
Pew reports that there there were about 3.45 million Muslims living in the US in 2017, making Islam the third most predominant religion in the United States, behind Christianity and Judaism.
Tracking age, fertility, mortality, migration, and religious conversions, Pew has determined that the Muslim American population has steadily grown in recent years and will likely continue a rapid climb in years to come.
By combining Census Bureau data with the contrast seen in the 2017 survey of U.S. Muslims with polls conducted in the past by Pew, it’s predicted that the Muslim population will surpass the Jewish population by 2040.
According to that survey, immigration plays a key role in the rise of Muslim populations in the US. The report explained that “Roughly six-in-ten U.S. Muslims ages 18 and over (58%) were born outside the U.S., with origins spread throughout the world.”
Muslims in the U.S. are not as numerous as the number of Americans who identify as Jewish by religion, according to our estimate. At the same time, our projections suggest that the U.S. Muslim population will grow much faster than the country’s Jewish population. By 2040, Muslims will replace Jews as the nation’s second-largest religious group after Christians. And by 2050, the U.S. Muslim population is projected to reach 8.1 million, or 2.1% of the nation’s total population — nearly twice the share of today […]
Since our first estimate of the size of the Muslim American population, the number of U.S. Muslims has been growing rapidly, albeit from a relatively low base. When we first conducted a study of Muslim Americans in 2007, we estimated that there were 2.35 million Muslims of all ages (including 1.5 million adults) in the U.S. By 2011, the number of Muslims had grown to 2.75 million (including 1.8 million adults). Since then, the Muslim population has continued to grow at a rate of roughly 100,000 per year, driven both by higher fertility rates among Muslim Americans as well as the continued migration of Muslims to the U.S.
Religious conversions haven’t had a large impact on the size of the U.S. Muslim population, largely because about as many Americans convert to Islam as leave the faith. Indeed, while about one-in-five American Muslim adults were raised in a different faith tradition and converted to Islam, a similar share of Americans who were raised Muslim now no longer identify with the faith.
The Christian population in the US, meanwhile, is expected to fall over the next several decades.
By 2050, Pew Research Center estimates that there will be roughly 8.09 million Muslims living in the United States.
What do you think about all of this? Do you believe the projections? Should anything be done in response? Let us know in the comments below.